Oregon vs Stanford 11/12/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Oregon winning 49% of simulations, and Stanford 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Oregon commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 63% when they take care of the ball. Stanford wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. LaMichael James is averaging 112 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Andrew Luck is averaging 267 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is STAN -4

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